Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 914.379417 1039.069627 1179.796267 1351.442402 1556.577529 1795.670935 2098.076749
2025-01-26 762.510850 929.354181 1135.891133 1414.678274 1787.969668 2280.730090 2998.254574
2025-02-02 680.625334 863.489226 1102.384488 1445.201150 1938.171713 2644.223483 3777.291162
2025-02-09 613.398258 804.498303 1065.694739 1460.772413 2065.890877 2999.606667 4643.191893
2025-02-16 555.438969 747.704459 1020.066182 1449.934470 2143.623469 3284.098224 5462.490895
2025-02-23 522.313909 720.960434 1012.311062 1491.906887 2307.759611 3740.313044 6727.759971
2025-03-02 495.967725 700.297787 1009.639589 1539.135828 2486.068980 4258.796519 8298.616897
2025-03-09 466.836234 671.930833 990.936588 1555.754878 2611.430341 4705.635994 9891.988818
2025-03-16 436.175435 637.981065 959.115577 1544.392769 2681.119802 5055.383671 11402.614494
2025-03-23 416.594969 619.631634 950.540580 1572.427923 2831.297697 5614.329528 13731.989261
2025-03-30 385.420243 579.758332 901.652587 1519.428333 2806.392757 5768.140982 14974.401878
2025-04-06 358.620422 545.085487 858.603327 1472.227714 2785.720179 5927.451915 16325.290782
2025-04-13 332.507076 510.526007 814.249996 1420.287182 2753.019507 6067.424968 17773.537054
2025-04-20 325.552923 508.121061 827.133050 1484.280436 2996.231067 7015.560099 22948.239195
2025-04-27 315.036354 498.513018 825.627688 1518.031100 3174.824786 7848.415358 28477.542042
2025-05-04 303.117188 485.477921 816.429256 1534.152195 3313.651311 8617.153921 34593.971650
2025-05-11 288.963666 467.379274 795.907086 1522.777380 3379.297861 9178.173870 40331.562005
2025-05-18 282.235381 462.302914 800.153597 1567.429221 3605.708643 10389.482939 51926.573539
2025-05-25 276.457074 458.515780 806.515123 1617.792214 3860.944661 11838.399774 68276.699408
2025-06-01 267.755205 448.594107 799.541459 1635.504284 4025.473684 13021.541865 85555.977221
2025-06-08 256.867198 433.794590 781.294580 1623.391785 4096.759818 13852.795334 101941.659829
2025-06-15 250.494230 427.306085 779.896670 1653.287988 4309.677459 15456.032921 133308.405296
2025-06-22 237.137234 406.389194 746.270757 1596.776857 4226.126594 15588.794114 145579.335757